Pensacola Housing Market Forecast 2023: Will it Crash?

Pensacola Housing Market

In 2023, the Pensacola housing market is poised to maintain its good performance, characterized by sustained home price appreciation and persistently low inventory levels.

Key Trends in Pensacola Housing Market 2023:

  • Continued Home Price Appreciation: Home prices are anticipated to see a steady rise.
  • Low Inventory Impact: Limited housing inventory is a driving force behind escalating home prices.
  • Competitive Market: Buyers should be prepared for a competitive landscape, necessitating quick decision-making.

Pensacola, FL Housing Market Insights October 2023

According to®, as of October 2023, the median listing home price in Pensacola, FL stands at $325,000, showcasing a steady upward trajectory with a 1.6% year-over-year increase. This positive trend reflects the robust nature of the local real estate market.

Breaking it down further, the median listing home price per square foot is $193, underlining the value proposition for both homebuyers and sellers in Pensacola.

Median Listing vs. Sold Price:

Examining the median listing home price versus the median home sold price reveals a fascinating dynamic. The data suggests a promising scenario, with homes sold for 2.39% below the asking price on average in October 2023.

Sale-to-List Price Ratio:

The sale-to-list price ratio, a key indicator of market health, is reported at 97.61%. This ratio signifies a balanced negotiation environment, offering a fair compromise between buyer and seller expectations.

Market Balance:

Pensacola, FL enjoys a balanced real estate market in October 2023, where the supply and demand for homes are in equilibrium. This equilibrium creates a favorable environment for both buyers and sellers to participate confidently in the market.

Median Days on Market:

On average, homes in Pensacola, FL take 55 days to sell. This metric, known as the median days on market, serves as a crucial gauge of market activity. Interestingly, the trend for median days on market has seen a slight increase since last month and a moderate uptick since the same period last year.

Pensacola Housing Market Forecast 2023 & 2024

As of September 30, 2023, Zillow provides a comprehensive forecast for the Pensacola housing market, offering insights into key metrics and trends shaping the real estate landscape in the region.

Current Market Statistics:

According to Zillow’s latest data, the average home value in Pensacola stands at $258,715, reflecting a 1.9% increase over the past year. Homes in Pensacola typically go pending in a rapid 18 days, underscoring the dynamic nature of the local real estate market. These figures, based on data through September 30, 2023, highlight the market’s resilience and attractiveness to both buyers and sellers.

Key Metrics:

  • Median Sale to List Ratio: As of August 31, 2023, the median sale to list ratio is 0.995, indicating a balanced market where homes are generally selling close to their list prices.
  • Percent of Sales Over List Price: In August 31, 2023, 21.7% of sales were over the list price, illustrating the competitive nature of the market and the willingness of buyers to pay a premium for homes.
  • Percent of Sales Under List Price: Conversely, 51.5% of sales were under the list price, suggesting that buyers still have opportunities to secure homes at prices below the initial listing.
  • Median Days to Pending: The median time for a home to go pending is 18 days as of September 30, 2023, emphasizing the need for swift decision-making in the current market.

Pensacola MSA Housing Market Forecast (2023-2024):

Zillow’s forecast for the Pensacola Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) provides a glimpse into the expected trends in the coming months:

RegionName RegionType StateName BaseDate 31-10-2023 31-12-2023 30-09-2024
Pensacola, FL msa FL 30-09-2023 0.2% 0.6% 3.8%

The Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) encompasses Pensacola and its surrounding counties, providing a comprehensive view of the regional real estate market. The Pensacola MSA is a significant economic and demographic unit, capturing the housing trends and dynamics of the broader area.

Market Size: The MSA forecast indicates growth, with predicted increases in the housing index over the next year. The figures suggest a positive trajectory, with the market expected to expand, providing opportunities for both buyers and sellers.

Counties Encompassed: The Pensacola MSA includes the counties surrounding Pensacola, FL, forming a geographic and economic cluster. These counties play a vital role in shaping the overall real estate landscape, contributing to the MSA’s housing market dynamics.

Overall, the Zillow forecast and MSA insights offer a comprehensive understanding of the Pensacola housing market, empowering individuals to make informed decisions in a dynamic and evolving real estate environment.

Investing in the Pensacola Real Estate Market: A Comprehensive Analysis

1. Population Growth and Trends:

The population growth in Pensacola is a key factor contributing to the city’s real estate market attractiveness for investors. Consider the following:

  • Steady Population Growth: Pensacola has experienced consistent population growth, driven by factors such as job opportunities, a vibrant economy, and a desirable living environment.
  • Appeal to New Residents: The city’s allure to newcomers, including military personnel, government employees, and those seeking a coastal lifestyle, contributes to sustained demand for housing.

2. Economy and Jobs:

The economic landscape of Pensacola plays a crucial role in the real estate investment decision-making process:

  • Diverse Economy: With a mix of military installations, government entities, and a growing tourism sector, Pensacola’s economy showcases diversity and resilience.
  • Job Opportunities: The presence of military and government facilities creates a stable job market, attracting individuals seeking employment security, which positively impacts the demand for housing.

3. Livability and Other Factors:

Factors contributing to the overall livability of Pensacola can significantly influence the real estate market:

  • Quality of Life: The city’s coastal location, cultural amenities, and outdoor activities enhance its overall appeal, making it an attractive destination for individuals and families looking for a high quality of life.
  • Educational Institutions: Presence of reputable educational institutions contributes to the city’s attractiveness, influencing the decision-making of families and professionals considering relocation.

4. Rental Property Market Size and Growth:

For investors considering rental properties, the size and growth of the rental market in Pensacola are crucial factors to assess:

  • Expanding Rental Market: With a growing population and an influx of new residents, the demand for rental properties is likely to increase, providing a potential avenue for investors to capitalize on a thriving rental market.
  • Rental Yield Potential: The combination of a strong job market and an attractive living environment contributes to the potential for favorable rental yields, making Pensacola an enticing prospect for real estate investors.

5. Other Factors Related to Real Estate Investing:

Consider additional factors that can impact the success of real estate investments in Pensacola:

  • Market Trends and Forecasts: Regularly monitor market trends and forecasts to stay informed about the trajectory of property values and rental rates, allowing for strategic investment decisions.
  • Government Initiatives: Stay informed about local government initiatives and development projects that could positively impact property values or rental demand.
  • Infrastructure Development: Assess ongoing and planned infrastructure projects, as they can influence property values and the overall desirability of certain neighborhoods.




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